Jeremy Ettlinger

Calls, puts & mise en place

Appel & Mise

Vol. IThursday, October 1, 2026 · 66° & overcast on the UWSThe daily, for Jeremy Ettlinger
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The lede

Gemini 4 Argon: our next era of frontier intelligence

Google DeepMind

Google's new frontier model is going first to trusted cyber defenders through a gated program rather than to developers, which is a story in itself, but the numbers to plan around are the output ceiling moving from 64K to 1M tokens, $2 and $10 per million in and out with cached input at 95% off, and a new state of the art on DeepSWE v1.1 at 77.9%. The internal receipts are more persuasive than the benchmarks: Argon agents took an existing Rust port of libgav1, replaced 32K lines of hand-written SIMD with safe Rust the compiler vectorizes on its own, and came out 2.7x faster than that port with identical video output, while another fleet of agents freed over 300 TiB of memory across Google's data centers from fleet-wide profiling telemetry. The interesting claim is not intelligence, it is headroom — a model handed a million output tokens in a single trajectory is being asked to finish things rather than answer them.

AI & Agents

LeadDev

Your agent loop is not a production system

The organizing line — mutation, not model choice, is the production boundary — is the cleanest statement yet of where a harness stops being glue around a model and starts being a control plane, and it comes out of building AWS DevOps Agent rather than out of a diagram. The awkward consequences are the valuable part: an approval cannot be a transient answer attached to one conversational turn, because runs pause and resume and targets change, so it has to become durable state with a scope, an identity, a lifetime and a reuse rule — and a tool returning success is not proof the incident is over.

manuel.darcemont.fr

The last time my family was replaced by technology

A developer's great-great-grandfather was the farrier in a small village in rural France, saw a car drive through the next town over, and became a mechanic — and every man in the family after him was a mechanic too, until the garage felt like it had always been there. It is the most useful frame going for the current anxiety, and it earns its ending rather than consoling you: not every farrier became a mechanic, and nobody ever heard of the ones who didn't.

Engineering & Leadership

Chantal Kapani, LeadDev

Inside Atlassian's developer experience overhaul

Andrew Boyagi's diagnosis is that companies fail at developer experience by buying the newest tool instead of asking engineers what is actually broken, and Atlassian's answer is unusually concrete: ten percent of developer time scheduled — not permitted, scheduled — for build times, stale docs and technical debt, on the theory that otherwise those fixes just compete with feature work and lose. The AI figures he offers, 45% faster pull request cycles and 51% of potential vulnerabilities auto-resolved, read less as a productivity claim than as an argument about which friction to hand to agents first: the work nobody wanted.

Gergely Orosz, The Pragmatic Engineer

Why has Shopify dropped React Native?

Six years after moving all six apps across, and barely a year after saying they were still happy with it, Shopify has declared native the future again — and the stated reason is that models now write native mobile code well enough that React Native's abstraction layer costs more than it saves. The Shop app rewrite took twelve weeks, which is the number that will get quoted; Orosz is more useful on the context, setting it beside Airbnb's 2016-to-2018 round trip and Notion's seven-year native migration, and giving Kotlin Multiplatform a fair hearing as the option that gets more attractive for exactly the same reason.

Web & Product Craft

Cloudflare · made the Sunday

Monetization Gateway beta: charge AI agents for consumption with HTTP 402

The mechanism is the whole story: payment offered inline with the request using the 402 status code that has sat unused since 1997, no redirect to a checkout page and no separate payment API, with pricing rules matched against any part of a request — URL, headers, query parameters — and settlement in USDC on Base through Coinbase's x402 facilitator. For a site already on Workers it is a few clicks to put a per-request price on an API, an MCP tool or a dataset, and for anyone whose day job is institutional crypto it is the least ideological case yet made for stablecoin rails: agents want payments cheap and fast at amounts no card network will process.

Jake Champion, Aarthy Chandrasekhar and Ivan Zarea, Netlify

5x faster Edge Functions: v8 isolates to Firecracker MicroVMs

Netlify moved roughly a billion daily edge function invocations off a hosted execution service and onto Firecracker MicroVMs inside its own network, taking a warm run from 25-40ms down to 5-6ms at the median, with cold invocations at about 1.2% of traffic costing around 9ms. The architecture write-up is the good kind: the edge node writes a machine spec naming three images and setting CPU, memory and connection limits, that spec travels with every request and hashes into a service ID, and so two deploys with different environment variables are different services that never share a MicroVM. Worth reading beside the isolate model you already run on, because the isolation story here is coming from a different layer entirely.

New York & the Table

West Side Rag

Openings & Closings: TALEA Beer Co.; Velvet Cowboy; Kine Musubi; Topman Barbershop; Cafe des Artistes; 7th Street Burger

Three openings inside ten blocks of Amsterdam: TALEA has taken the old St. James Gate space at 81st with an all-day menu built to survive both date night and Sunday morning with the kids, Velvet Cowboy has turned Jacob's Pickles' old room at 84th into a Western bar with a five-dollar menu of Texas chili and frito pie, and Kine Musubi soft-opened on 72nd doing Hawaiian Spam musubi with hours still to be determined. The line to file, though, is Café des Artistes: ahead of an early-2027 reopening it is asking former diners, staff and neighbors to send in their memories of the room.

Diversions

Aftermath

Primetime Is A Gorgeous, Sleazy Portrait Of Early 2000s TV

A24's fictionalized account of To Catch a Predator has Robert Pattinson doing Chris Hansen's 'have a seat,' and the two-hander review makes the case that the film works because it refuses the easy dunk — the subject is spectacle sold as justice, built like Network, with Merritt Wever stealing it as the producer. The detail that does the most work is Hansen waking his children in the middle of the night to show them the newest episode, and lying to his wife about why they are up.

Loose Change

Marcin Wichary, Unsung

Before pixels: Modular industrial dashboards

Going through German and Polish transport museums, Wichary kept finding the same thing: the modular panel systems that ran air traffic control, subway dispatch and railway signalling before software took the job — grids of interchangeable plates that light up to show status, some with their faces removed so you can see the module behind, others carrying hand-written annotations that seem to mean fixed, or on its way to being fixed. The identical system turns up in Münich, Stuttgart, Nuremberg and Warsaw, and the best thing in the set is a Stuttgart tram panel holding an unresolved typographic argument between DIN and the German equivalent of a Dymo label. He says plainly that he does not know much about them and would like to hear from anyone who does.

The Back Page

Tom Garry, The Guardian · made the Sunday

Hampton's heroics preserve WCL point for Chelsea on Bompastor's OL Lyonnes return

Goalless at the Groupama Stadium on Sonia Bompastor's return to the club she won this competition with as both player and manager, against a side that had scored at least seven in each of its four previous matches this season. Chelsea had most of the ball and a fair share of the chances, and the part to be pleased about is the Walsh-Potter double pivot holding for a second time in four days after the Arsenal derby — Lexi Potter is twenty, got her first senior England call-up on Tuesday, and looked at home against the eight-time European champions.

Barney Ronay, The Guardian

Building of the Pep supremacy is an era that will be defined by sham-ball

Ronay rewinds to a Wembley press room in May 2019, an hour after a 6-0 cup final win, where Rob Harris asked Guardiola whether he had ever received a second salary from Abu Dhabi and got the press officer's 'we're not going there' plus the full death-ray stare — then cuts to the same reporter this week putting the same question to Ferran Soriano and receiving a mumbled thank you and a fumbling exit. It is a column about what the verdicts do to a body of work, and about the people who kept asking while colleagues held a perfumed handkerchief to their noses.

Around town

Through Mon Oct 12

He Built This City: Joe Macken's Model

Museum of the City of New York, 1220 Fifth Ave at 103rd St, Upper East Side

Queens-born Joe Macken spent twenty-one years building a fifty-by-twenty-seven-foot New York out of balsa wood, cardboard and glue — over 340 individual sections, begun with 30 Rockefeller Plaza. The museum hands you binoculars and, weather permitting, opens the North Terrace so you can see the model's north side. Simon Willison went this week and said it exceeded already-high expectations. It closes on the 12th, it is a walk across the park, and a thing like this does not come back.

casual

Tue Oct 13 · 6:00pm

Tech x Market Decoders: Personal AI Agents, Muse, Instinct & the Fight For Your Inbox

Venue given on registration, Manhattan

A salon rather than a panel — fifteen minutes of silent research on one topic, then forty-five minutes of arguing your read against a small curated room. This week's question is whether personal agents that book things and spend money can be trusted with your accounts: Meta's Muse, which passed ChatGPT to hit number one on the App Store inside ten days, against Instinct, which works entirely over text message with no app at all. Ten dollars, bring a laptop.

professional

Thu Oct 15 · 5:00pm

The Quantified Self: What AI Can Actually Tell Us About Our Data

Civic Hall, 124 E 14th St, Union Square

Gary Wolf co-founded Quantified Self with Kevin Kelly and has spent twenty years watching people try to answer a question with their own numbers; he is at Startup Grind to talk about what changes when a model does the analysis that used to mean a spreadsheet. The part worth the ten dollars is his current research — a cryptographic protocol for proving where sensor data came from at the moment it was recorded, which is a familiar problem wearing unfamiliar clothes.

professional

Quote of the day

“Sunlight. Scrutiny. Awkward questions from awkward people.”

— Barney Ronay, on the Manchester City verdicts

On this day

October 1, 1982 — Sony puts the CDP-101 on sale in Japan for ¥168,000, the first compact disc player anyone could buy, and the long argument about whether digital audio sounds like anything begins.

The puzzle corner

The Mini · Wordle · Connections

A fifty-by-twenty-seven-foot balsa New York closes uptown on the 12th; the rest of this page can wait until the 13th.